Stock bites

Stock bites Here you can find some exciting news about various businesses, some of our analysis of stocks and what we think can be a decent investment moving forward .

It's our personal opinion with lot of assumptions so its not an investment advice. HOW WE DO WHAT WE DO? As a security analyst and long term value investor, I read a lot of annual reports (10-Ks) , analyze businesses, perform DCF analysis of free cash flow to the company & Dividend discount modelling, and find investment opportunities . My principles are inspired from Ben Graham , Warren Buffett a

nd Charlie Munger, which are straightforward- buy great businesses ( with a wide moat) within circle of competence at fair prices and hold them forever unless management goals are not aligned with the underlying business or some macro changes happen which might affect revenues in a big way. Our favorite hold time (if no better opportunity comes) is forever, as its a great opportunity to be invested in a great business at the right price if not overpaid in the first place. This page was created when doing the above activities since June 2019 , resulted in the returns of 13.33% average annually as of July 2022 ( total returns of ~40% in 3 years ) , which was obviously boosted by Covid dip buying opportunities but offset with Summer 2022 bear market. The aforementioned returns were 70% if we exclude the Summer 2022 stock market crash. Also the returns doesn't include dividends earned which were averaged to be 2.5% across the full portfolio which were mostly reinvested in the portfolio for quarterly compounding.
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Disclaimer

I am not a licensed investment advisor. The information on this page is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. I am not recommending any particular investment, and I do not guarantee any investment returns. You should do your own research before making any investment decisions. This includes considering your own financial situation and risk tolerance. You should also consult with a licensed investment advisor before making any investment decisions. I am not liable for any losses that you may incur as a result of following my investment advice. You are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. By accessing this page, you agree to these terms and conditions.
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30/08/2024

Happy 94th birthday to Warren Buffett and congrats to Berkshire Hathaway for reaching $1 trillion mark!

10/06/2024

Q2 2024:

Dear Investors,

Q2 was all about UPS for us. In summer 2023, when UPS was battling with Teamsters strike, it was estimated that if UPS stopped operating for 10 days , US economy might come to a halt (A 10-day UPS strike could cost the US economy a whopping $7.1 billion). Be it small businesses or big online retailers, everyone depends on majorly UPS and Fedex for delivery of the packages. When such businesses’ valuation becomes cheap even though due to high capex and spending, we can’t help but buying it more. We added on to our UPS position as the price dipped further and brought our cost basis closer to $140 mark which based on our valuation an excellent entry point as it passes our litmus test – if we had all the money in the world and if we can acquire the entire UPS business at $140 a share, we will do it in a heartbeat. This litmus test has helped the decision making process much easier while we were opening position in Broadcom ( AVGO) at ~$800 recently and it keeps paying off ( trading at $1420 at the time of writing).
We welcome loads of dividend ( > 4.5%) coming from UPS and when it is reinvested in the business it is simply a compounding machine in making. We also increased our position size in Zoom video communications.
Until next time, happy investing!

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Disclaimer: We are not licensed investment advisors. The information on this page is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. We are not recommending any particular investment, and we do not guarantee any investment returns. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You should do your own research before making any investment decisions. This includes considering your own financial situation and risk tolerance. You should also consult with a licensed investment advisor before making any investment decisions. We are not liable for any losses that you may incur as a result of following my investment advice. You are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. By accessing this page, you agree to these terms and conditions.
I/we have a long position in the shares mentioned in the published rankings and research reports either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I/we write the articles and it expresses my/our own opinions. I/we am/are not receiving any compensation for it . I/we have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Amazing talk, gave me goosebumps when he mentioned about snippets of Security Analysis book and Ben Graham :
06/06/2024

Amazing talk, gave me goosebumps when he mentioned about snippets of Security Analysis book and Ben Graham :

About the TalkTom Gayner is the CIO of Markel Corp, where he manages the company's investment portfolio. He talks about his journey as an individual and valu...

With god's mercy I guess we got really lucky since last four years for converting the initial investment to 2.6x : 26.02...
05/06/2024

With god's mercy I guess we got really lucky since last four years for converting the initial investment to 2.6x : 26.02% annual returns + 3.5% average portfolio dividends = 29.52% total annual returns. Benchmark returns -- S&P500 returns : 20.99+1.32 div= 22.31% , QQQ returns : 26% + 0.53% div = 26.53%. While we prefer consistent and steady returns over skyrocketing returns , we definitely don't mind the latter with a thought in mind that future returns might be way less than past returns in that case.

16/05/2024

AI is finally here...

22/04/2024

Q1 2024.

Dear Investors,

We published our first research report at smart Equity last October (https://tinyurl.com/2z9ez6kc). The next one will be coming soon. A quick reminder that in Quarterly updates here, we won’t discuss much about rock bottom DCF valuation and fundamentals of the business as that would be mostly covered in SmartEquity research reports. I hope the readers are reaping 5x returns on META investment at $96 (published in Nov 2022) , 1.9x return on GOOGL investment at $85-$92 ( published in Feb 2023), 1.5x return on Intel at $26.5 ( published in Dec 2022) , 1.5x return on Citi at $40-$44 (published in August 2022), etc. While we think we did thorough analysis for the right entry point, we can’t take credit for the returns we all are getting as we can only control the controllable i.e. buying at a discount.
In Q1 2024, we freed up some cash by selling our TGT position (bought at $106 and sold at $172) as we needed money for much better opportunity, which will be covered here in the later section. We still believe that TGT is an amazing business and if we had infinite capital, we would love to hold it forever as it was paying us more than 5% dividend and we bought an excellent business at such a fair price. In another news, 3M has completed the spinoff of its healthcare business, Solventum Corporation and every shareholder of 3M got one share of Solventum for every four shares of 3M they owned. We have sold the Solventum shares as well to free up more cash for a better opportunity.
Regarding the opportunity I was talking about, we started a new position in Zoom Video Communications(ZM) at $59. The Rock bottom valuation and assumptions/risks behind it will be covered in the Smart Equity research report. We believe it will be a growth play in the future b’cos of contact center solution and more and more larger enterprises keeping Zoom subscriptions along with its competitors’ solutions like MS Teams. Cheap valuation, strong balance sheet (zero long term debt) and decent EPS growth in the last 5 years were among several reasons to buy Zoom Video Communications.
We also started a new position in ACI (Albertsons) at $21 which was done partly due to cheap valuation and partly due to a potential arbitrage deal (Kroger was supposed to buy Albertsons at $26+ per share). Now that the deal might not happen, we are holding it because again we bought an amazing business at discounted price (more on this in the research report).
Until next time, happy investing!
======================================================
Disclaimer: We are not licensed investment advisors. The information on this page is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. We are not recommending any particular investment, and we do not guarantee any investment returns. You should do your own research before making any investment decisions. This includes considering your own financial situation and risk tolerance. You should also consult with a licensed investment advisor before making any investment decisions. We are not liable for any losses that you may incur as a result of following my investment advice. You are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. By accessing this page, you agree to these terms and conditions.
I/we have a long position in the shares mentioned in the published rankings and research reports either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I/we write the articles and it expresses my/our own opinions. I/we am/are not receiving any compensation for it . I/we have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Courtesy: Berkshire recent shareholder's letter https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2023ltr.pdf
27/02/2024

Courtesy: Berkshire recent shareholder's letterhttps://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2023ltr.pdf

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